Costs of stay in power of current rulers in brazil and the benefits of their removal

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Currently, there is a national outcry by the remoteness of Dilma Rousseff of the Presidency either through impeachment, resignation or through military intervention. To be impeachment is necessary that the head of the executive branch commits a violation, such as abuse of power, responsibility for crime, common crime and violation of the Constitution or lost the confidence of the nation and for reasons of state. If it´s not possible to fit Dilma Rousseff in crime of abuse of power, crime of responsibility and common crime, there is only the loss of confidence of the nation by the fact that she practiced electoral larceny or be reasons of state to avoid economic and social disaster that would result for their hold on power.
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  • 1. 1 COSTS OF STAY IN POWER OF CURRENT RULERS IN BRAZIL AND THE BENEFITS OF THEIR REMOVAL Fernando Alcoforado * Currently, there is a national outcry by the remoteness of Dilma Rousseff of the Presidency either through impeachment, resignation or through military intervention. To be impeachment is necessary that the head of the executive branch commits a violation, such as abuse of power, responsibility for crime, common crime and violation of the Constitution or lost the confidence of the nation and for reasons of state. If it´s not possible to fit Dilma Rousseff in crime of abuse of power, crime of responsibility and common crime, there is only the loss of confidence of the nation by the fact that she practiced electoral larceny or be reasons of state to avoid economic and social disaster that would result for their hold on power. It should be noted that impeachment is an English expression used to designate the impediment of a chief executive. This process can happen in national, state and municipal level under the responsibility of the Legislative Power. The assumption of resignation to the presidency by Dilma Rousseff is unlikely to occur unless there is a compelling public pressure that it would not continue in power. Both in case of impeachment as in the resignation of Dilma Rousseff, Brazil will be very poorly served because his successor would be Vice President Michel Temer which is an obscure and minor figure in Brazilian politics linked to a clientelistic party like the PMDB that is so corrupt as PT. The "amendment would be worse than the sonnet" with the removal of Dilma Rousseff of power and the rise of Temer for president. A fact is inexorable: with Dilma Rousseff and Michel Temer as president, the political, economic and social chaos will dominate the Brazilian scene. The political, economic and social chaos that could dominate the Brazilian scene would pave the way for the intervention of the armed forces to maintain order as envisaged in the Constitution, unless Michel Temer also resign under irresistible public pressure so that an interim government of national unity is formed that would be mandated to convene a Constituent Assembly to reform the State and Public Administration in Brazil and hold new elections. From the foregoing, it is evident that the determining factor of political and social change in Brazil at this juncture is popular pressure under which there would be the removal of Dilma Rousseff and Michel Temer of power and the possibility of formation of a national unity government would make it unnecessary to rise to power of the armed forces to face the political chaos, economic and social of the country. Without the popular pressure for political, economic and social changes everything will continue as is or evolve worse. To mount with the current political process of Brazil, it is important that the Brazilian people evaluate the economic, social and political costs of Dilma Rousseff and Michel Temer stay in power and the economic, social and political benefits of their removal from the Presidency of Republic. Economic, social and political costs of Dilma Rousseff and Michel Temer stay in power are as follows: - The government's fiscal adjustment will aggravate the process of stagnation of the Brazilian economy, which should present regression in growth in the next two years
  • 2. 2 - Gigantic contraction of the country's economic growth that should give a negative growth rate in 2015 - Increase escalating inflation that already has a rate of 7.7% per year - Widespread bankruptcies of companies that are already taking place throughout the country - Mass unemployment that is already occurring due to the downturn in the economy and Petrobras crisis - Gigantic loss of purchasing power of the population with the escalation of inflation - Complete disorganization of the country and bankruptcy of the Brazilian economy as a result of stagnation of the Brazilian economy - Gigantic fall collection of the Union, states and municipalities that prevent them from taking their most basic responsibilities - Increase exacerbated of tensions and social conflicts - Radicalization of the political process in Brazil with increasing political violence between government supporters and opposition to the use of paramilitary groups that can spill over into a civil war - Increasing divorce between the State and Civil Society - Total loss of governability by Dilma Rousseff / Michel Temer and their allies - Possibility of military intervention to restore the political, economic and social order resulting from total loss of governability by Dilma Rousseff and Michel Temer whose consequences are unpredictable - Removal of a government of power that has as a priority the reduction of social inequalities in Brazil with the risk of coming to power government of uncompromising to reduce social inequalities Economic, social and political benefits of the removal of Dilma Rousseff and Michel Temer of power are as follows: - Opens the possibility of avoiding a fratricidal struggle or a civil war in Brazil - Opens the possibility that social tensions can be reduced with the prospect of political- institutional reorganization and the establishment of new economic and social directions for Brazil - Opens the possibility of avoiding the collapse of the Brazilian economy - Opens the possibility of building a new social pact in Brazil - Opens the possibility of setting up a provisional government of national unity that would be mandated to convene a Constituent Assembly to reform the State and Public Administration in Brazil and hold new elections
  • 3. 3 - Opens the possibility for the new government to be formed to present a consistent economic program which has credibility and cause a reversal in the wave of pessimistic expectations that has affected consumer and business generally - Opens the possibility of preventing corrupt and incompetent will exercise power in Brazil - Opens the possibility of overcoming the existing political crisis of representation in Brazil - Opens the possibility of preventing systemic crises such as the present with the implementation of a new political system that ensures the exercise of governability and governance by those in power - Avoid military intervention to restore the political, economic and social order which can result in the implementation of a new dictatorship in Brazil The Brazilian people need to have a clearer perception of the consequences of their choices not to elect the worst way. *Fernando Alcoforado , member of the Bahia Academy of Education, engineer and doctor of Territorial Planning and Regional Development from the University of Barcelona, a university professor and consultant in strategic planning, business planning, regional planning and planning of energy systems, is the author of Globalização (Editora Nobel, São Paulo, 1997), De Collor a FHC- O Brasil e a Nova (Des)ordem Mundial (Editora Nobel, São Paulo, 1998), Um Projeto para o Brasil (Editora Nobel, São Paulo, 2000), Os condicionantes do desenvolvimento do Estado da Bahia (Tese de doutorado. Universidade de Barcelona, http://www.tesisenred.net/handle/10803/1944, 2003), Globalização e Desenvolvimento (Editora Nobel, São Paulo, 2006), Bahia- Desenvolvimento do Século XVI ao Século XX e Objetivos Estratégicos na Era Contemporânea (EGBA, Salvador, 2008), The Necessary Conditions of the Economic and Social Development-The Case of the State of Bahia (VDM Verlag Dr. Muller Aktiengesellschaft & Co. KG, Saarbrücken, Germany, 2010), Aquecimento Global e Catástrofe Planetária (P&A Gráfica e Editora, Salvador, 2010), Amazônia Sustentável- Para o progresso do Brasil e combate ao aquecimento global (Viena- Editora e Gráfica, Santa Cruz do Rio Pardo, São Paulo, 2011) and Os Fatores Condicionantes do Desenvolvimento Econômico e Social (Editora CRV, Curitiba, 2012), among others.
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