Future trends for education and technology: 2018

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1. Crunch Time Selected future of education trends 2. Greetings from springtime Vermont 3. http://futureofeducation.us/ The Future of Education Observatory 4. The Future…
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  • 1. Crunch Time Selected future of education trends
  • 2. Greetings from springtime Vermont
  • 3. http://futureofeducation.us/ The Future of Education Observatory
  • 4. The Future Trends Forum
  • 5.  Monthly environmental scan report  Trends identified, tested, projected Trendlines
  • 6. Globalization of higher education  International higher ed systems building up  Growing international market  US opening branches abroad
  • 7. Globalization of higher education https://www.nasa.gov/feature/goddard/2017/new-night-lights-maps-open-up-possible-real-time-applicatio  Now global student #s in US drop
  • 8. Demographics Youth population shrinkage Expanding senior population…
  • 9. 10
  • 10. 11
  • 11. “U.S. and World Population Clock” https://www.census.go v/popclock/
  • 12. Population changes 12
  • 13. Macroeconomic changes
  • 14. Labor transformations • manufacturing->service • 1 job/career->many gigs • declining participation • income stagnation • automation
  • 15. Political changes Rural urban split Race Gender Economic anxiety Nationalism/ nativism or globalism
  • 16. Education trends Reform movements Alternative certification Alternative business models and schools
  • 17. Student population changes  Near-majority adult  Increasing first- generation students  Veterans  Learning disabilities 12https://www.flickr.com/photos/un_photo/6708914025/
  • 18. Student population changes 12
  • 19. Student enrollment changes 12 National Student Clearinghouse Research Center
  • 20. Adjunctification rising
  • 21. Defunding public universities
  • 22. How financialization plays out
  • 23. https://www.flickr.com/photos/seeyoujimmy/2631905283/
  • 24. https://www.flickr.com/photos/streetmatt/15083719955/
  • 25. Established and growing • Mobile • Social media • Cloud computing • Digital video • Gaming
  • 26. The post- Snowden world https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Edward_Snowden
  • 27. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kevin_Kelly_(editor)
  • 28. Screening Flowing Accessing Sharing Cognifying Filtering Remixing Interacting
  • 29. Screening Flowing Accessing Sharing Cognifying Filtering Remixing Interacting
  • 30. Automation on the rise
  • 31. Automation on the rise http://www.cnet.com/news/and-heres-a-drone-with-a-chainsaw-attached/
  • 32. Taking automation seriously
  • 33. Taking automation seriously • Robots in industry • “ “ cars • “ at war • Spambots • High frequency trading • Automated writing…
  • 34. Design for mobile *first *
  • 35. New device ecosystem
  • 36. VR
  • 37. VR + AR = MR
  • 38. New device ecosystem Android battles iOS Disintegrated computing: Wearables Very small cameras and computers…
  • 39. New device ecosystem Leading to…
  • 40. https://www.reddit.com/r/IllBeYourGuide/
  • 41. Two huge horizons Moore’s Law End of the Web
  • 42. https://www.flickr.com/photos/collegeofsanmateolibrary/15373589050/
  • 43. https://www.flickr.com/photos/btckeychain/19574064780/
  • 44. Teaching and learning and tech
  • 45. blended/ flipped / hybrid classroom
  • 46. Changes in the LMS world? http://i0.wp.com/mfeldstein.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/walledgarden5.jpg
  • 47. Teaching and learning and tech  distance learning grows  generational gaps
  • 48. Open…  OER  Open access  Open teaching
  • 49. The rise of the Maker movement BYOD VR/AR Analytics
  • 50. Uses of social media Uses of Web video Ebooks + etextbooks gaming in education
  • 51. MOOCs on the move
  • 52. Technology-mediated research Simulations http://web.archive.org/web/20150418162758/http://www.futurict.eu /
  • 53. Textual research Digital humanities
  • 54. Textual research Law: e-discovery http://criminalintent.org/
  • 55. The new community of scholars, 1* *Credit to Dan Cohen for this formulation
  • 56. The new community of scholars, 2
  • 57. What happens to the library? •Shift from collection development to digital literacy consultation •Open scholarship •Classroom engagement •Transforms to research entrepreneurship National Science Library at the Chinese Academy of
  • 58. Which of these trends are the most powerful?
  • 59. Which of these trends are the most unpredicatble?
  • 60. All of these are in the present.
  • 61. So what’s next?
  • 62. Extrapolations: Transnational campuses Average student age: 40 Hourly faculty  Privatizing public universities  Hogwarts vs poor campuses What comes next?
  • 63. • Rich multimedia environment • Some gamification • Student as producer Disintegrated computing as a service Extensive data analysis, surveillance, creativity Campus of networked things
  • 64. Classes? • Blended learning is campus norm • Some classes outsourced to DL • Classrooms in studio mode • All campus is blended learning environment (“place as library”) • Hands-on learning (maker culture, tinkering): production + studies
  • 65. A higher education bubble?
  • 66. A higher education bubble?  Continued cost/quality anxiety  Student and parent anxieties about debt  Grad school crises  Political pressure
  • 67. The Queen sacrifice gambit
  • 68. Yet the college premium persists
  • 69. Will universities fight Trump? Campuses defending immigrants
  • 70. https://www.insidehighered.com/news/2016/1 2/02/outlining-commitments-undocumented- immigrant-students-some-presidents-avoid- term What do campuses do during civil unrest?
  • 71. Taking automation seriously
  • 72. Curriculum and life: is school for unemployment or working with AIs? Post-AI education
  • 73. Pedagogy: • Apps instead of classes • Computer-assisted creativity • Cyborg teaching and becoming Post-AI education
  • 74. Curriculum and life: what does it mean to be human when machines exceed us? Post-AI education
  • 75. The best digital literacy storytelling https://www.youtube.com/wat ch?v=W6yVCgoBn-I
  • 76. What comes next?
  • 77. Collaborate with each other, across institutions, sectors, nations, populations, professions What can we do now?
  • 78. Use social media
  • 79. Use social media Use and be open
  • 80. Rethink everything in terms of automation’s possibilities
  • 81. Imagine different worlds and inhabiting them - yourselves, your institution, your children and the generation to come
  • 82. http://futureofeducation.us/ http://twitter.com/bryanalexander
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